Coffee Market News
It was a subdued week in the coffee markets, dominated more by weather bulletins than by trading drama. Reports circulated that over 150,000 bags of Brazilian Arabica might soon be delivered into certified warehouses in Europe—apparently to replenish dwindling stocks while avoiding U.S. tariffs. Market participants are watching closely to see whether those volumes materialize.
In New York, Arabica futures drifted within a narrow 20-cent range as traders rolled positions from December into March. The switch remains stubbornly firm, showing little sign of easing. Prices moved 4% higher over the week, settling around 407,80 c/lb combining an uneventful week with an over 33 c/lb bandwidth.
The consistently welcome rains across Brazil continue to bolster expectations for the 2026/27 crop, reinforcing optimism after a series of challenging seasons.
Meanwhile, a second typhoon brushed Vietnam, though reliable assessments of any damage to coffee plantings remain scarce. The Robusta market in London took the headlines in stride, reacting with notable calm. Prices ended the week 2,4% higher, closing at an almost unchanged level (4.648 USD/MT).
In the following table you will find the most relevant coffee data. We update it weekly:

Origin News: Asia Pacific
Vietnam
Washington and Hanoi are inching toward a narrowly defined trade accord. According to the White House, negotiations are in their final stages and would keep the 20 percent tariffs on most Vietnamese exports while offering targeted exemptions for select goods—coffee among them. President Trump indicated that coffee is likely to feature on the list of products spared from the duties, though officials cautioned that the final line-up will be determined in the coming weeks. The move highlights Washington's attempt to balance trade pressure on Asia with calibrated relief for strategic sectors.
Even as diplomatic clouds lift, meteorological ones darken. Typhoon Kalmaegi is moving toward central Vietnam, expected to make landfall between Quang Ngai and Gia Lai provinces. It is the second major storm in a matter of weeks, bringing torrential rain, fierce winds, and widespread flooding. Such events often disrupt coffee harvesting in the Central Highlands, knocking ripe cherries from branches and damaging infrastructure. For now, the worst-hit zones lie largely outside the country's core coffee belt, potentially affecting up to 15 percent of national output.
The downpours will slow harvest operations, but activity is expected to accelerate through November and peak in early December. So far only 5% of the coffee has been harvested. Fieldwork continues between showers, though transport from farms remains patchy until roads—and beans—have dried.
Despite localized losses, traders and analysts still expect a robust Robusta crop, the best in four years, at an estimated 28.0 to 29.5 million bags. Every bag will help narrow the gap in the tightening global supply balance.
For now, ports remain operational – but very wet.
Indonesia
Cotti Coffee, the Chinese coffee-chain launched in 2022 by former Luckin Coffee executives, made its Indonesian debut in August 2023 with a store in Jakarta. The move forms part of Cotti's rapid regional rollout. In Indonesia, the brand is positioning itself to compete with local chains by bringing its low-price, high-volume 'grab-&-go' model beyond China and into Southeast Asia.
Signals from Indonesia's coffee sector remain uneven. After a brief improvement in coffee flow from the interior earlier in the season, farmer sales have slowed again as firm local prices and cautious forward demand dampen movement.
In Sumatra, early Arabica outturns appear rather low, leaving exporters behind schedule on their October and November shipments.
Logistics are functioning in principle, but prompt FOB offers are limited, making shipment schedules irregular and delays are pre-programmed.
India
Nirmala Sitharaman, India's Finance Minister, stated that India has climbed from being the world's 10th-largest economy in 2014 to 5th today, and is on track to become the 4th and possibly 3rd soon.
Weather conditions across India's main coffee-growing states—Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu—remain seasonally favourable. Regular evening showers have supported fertilization and set the stage for what could be a constructive 2025/26 harvest. Nothing out of the ordinary has been reported so far, and the outlook remains stable.
Some coffee from the 2024/25 crop is still being offered, mainly Robusta—both natural and washed—for prompt shipment. Arabica, however, has largely cleared from the market. Attention is now turning to the new crop: Arabica harvesting is expected to start in the second half of November and continue into early December, with the first shipments anticipated from January. Robusta follows a few weeks later, with exports expected to begin from February onward.
A notable development this season has been the resumption of monsooned coffee exports. From October onward, exporters began shipping both Arabica and Robusta that had undergone the monsooning process—coffee from the 2024/25 crop that was held back and weathered through the 2025 monsoon. The first arrivals of these distinctive lots are expected in December.
No major updates have emerged from the ports of Cochin or Mangalore, where operations continue smoothly for now.
Papua New Guinea
Papua New Guinea has strengthened its strategic and economic footing in quick succession. Port Moresby and Canberra signed the so-called Pukpuk defence treaty—named after the Tok Pisin word for crocodile—cementing closer security cooperation and mutual assistance between the two neighbours. The accord underscores Australia's deepening role in Pacific stability at a time of rising regional competition.
In the coffee sector, the harvest has largely concluded. Washing stations are winding down operations and drying the remaining parchment, with first shipments expected to arrive towards November/December.
No major updates have been reported from the Port of Lae.
Production Estimates in Asia Pacific













































































